Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Livni, Tzipit
What we have here is in all likelihood the Israeli Al Gore.
She won, but will probably lose when Benyamen Netanyahu forms what will actually be the future ruling Israeli coalition-a conservative coalition. This is good news on all levels. Israeli society is obviously veering center-right, and though this will give Bibi a great deal of leverage, he will appreciate the fact that he doesn't really have a solid mandate, which will make him amenable to reasonable compromise.
Overall, this is good news for Israeli security, as well as for overall Middle Eastern stability, which needs all the stability it can muster. This should in turn help stabilize oil prices. Well, we can always hope.
Labor and Kadima have both proven they are inept, weak, and corrupt, and wholly unable to do more at best than keep the barbarians at the gate, not counting the flurry of missiles which have seemed to make their way past the gate on a near daily basis.
Obama can work with Bibi. He will have to. The US needs competent governance in Israel, not a temperamental lapdog that does little more than eat and bark.
Some of the more far right Israelis, Jews, and Jewish supporters, such as my friend Mad Zionist, will of course be wholly or at least greatly dissatisfied with Bibi, and in part for much good reason.
Still, from my perspective, this is the overall best possible scenario, realistically speaking.
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3 comments:
Bibi is crap, but he stinks slightly less than Tzippi or Barak. I'm happy to see the left utterly collapse, disappointed the National Union didn't fair better, but on the whole it went pretty much as expected.
What I would ideally like to see is Moshe Feiglin continue to rise in stature, and eventually displace Bibi as the head of the Likud.
The center-right coalition, will probably give up more territory, than any government in Israel's history.
It'll take a rightist, to create a two state solution.
There may well be a two-state solution, but not until there is a hell of a lot more Palestinian blood shed, so much in fact that the Palestinians finally get the message that they had better take what they can get or keep what they have, which is next to nothing.
And yes, a right-wing or a center-right government will be far more likely to get that point across.
The provocation will be one-sided, and so will the result. My only hope is that is leads to lasting stability in the long run.
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